WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573cced1308f76a3e472e980898db7449ab845d2f960a208a95005444ba21313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 14,092$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.18 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 10,972$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,486 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,024$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,494$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.71 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 1,359$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.22 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 36c | 742.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 559$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 526.16$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.82 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Dallas Wings | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 485.7$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 454$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 453.27$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 325$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 272.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 226.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 197.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 178.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 163.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Washington Mystics | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 75.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Washington Mystics | 34c | 69.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 68.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 47.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 36.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 31.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Washington Mystics | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…40cebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 26.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.