WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa2ed8c6b0444290b7f4f9f27e18510912a7704cd249ec3a6b92ea12079fe9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 4,035$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.84 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 3,038$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.39 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 2,413$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 1,139$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 50c | 913.84$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.92 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 833.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Over | 47c | 627.84$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 43c | 463.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 195.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 54c | 182.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 174.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 151.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 76c | 149.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 76c | 83.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 46c | 70.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 54c | 70.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Over | 49c | 68.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…29b9backed Over | 50c | 50.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 74c | 47.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 47.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 34.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 53c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 48c | 21.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5this page
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.