MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72e56734d1c9a9e6b4b9050b76c269242a0a096ec04847e7c27700af67ab85fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 33,936$19,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,340.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 5,930$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.49 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 5,579$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 4,666$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 4,229$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.44 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +10.0wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…f684backed Milwaukee Brewers | 15c | 1,170$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 954.51$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 860.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 824.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 814.01$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 778.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.71 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 440.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 381.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 303.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 287.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 221.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 183.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 169$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 163.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 144.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 120.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 106.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…1ed0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…58c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 94.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 77.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 66.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 62.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 55.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…1ce4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 48.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 47.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 44.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 37.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 30.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…2491backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 30.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…69b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 27.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…5625backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 15.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…9a33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 15.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…5081backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…9a4dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 15.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…68a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 15.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…c86ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 15.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…cdcdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 14.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…86a7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 13.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4276…ca2cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 13.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c08…45ffbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 13.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.