MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d23e84438b5be1d7e717dbe9bcacd73c36802dcd23ba09569356b5ab62b2b02

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $83,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,298 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over	76c	18,465$14,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,013.47	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.95	484	51%247 W · 237 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	46c	6,221$2,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,343.35	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under	63c	5,749$3,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,127.21	206	48.1%99 W · 107 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over	0c	5,676$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Over	4c	3,828$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.69	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over	2c	2,549$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.91	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Over	1c	2,535$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	45c	2,080$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.34	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Over	11c	1,874$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.42	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over	45c	1,047$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.67	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	56c	1,005$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.16	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8c…e77dbacked Under	15c	1,002$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.01	63	77.8%49 W · 14 L	+10.0wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+93.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	20c	995.82$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.64	439	54.7%240 W · 199 L	+30.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	19c	751.71$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.09	707	37.6%266 W · 441 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	55c	670.41$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.68	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	54c	645.41$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.89	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over	78c	640.68$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.97	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	55c	616$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.2	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under	21c	555.45$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.72	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	543.47$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.43	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	299	50.5%151 W · 148 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	55c	382.71$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.22	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under	25c	368.29$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.39	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	26cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over	44c	350$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	1,010	48.1%486 W · 524 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	55c	344.82$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.91	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	68c	271.9$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.28	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	52c	265.33$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.54	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under	22c	253.78$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.33	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+12.8wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over	44c	243.65$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.34	264	38.3%101 W · 163 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	79c	223.99$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.95	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under	59c	195.35$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.09	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over	44c	181.82$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	496	49.8%247 W · 249 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	55c	178$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.1	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Over	63c	153$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.06	151	45.7%69 W · 82 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	57c	152$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.36	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e64…8bf8backed Over	50c	148.18$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	43c	147$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.21	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	47c	135$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.55	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Over	76c	130.3$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	351	49.3%173 W · 178 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e48…b8dcbacked Under	47c	106.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.49	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	44c	105$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6a…5b40backed Over	60c	101.21$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over	45c	100.09$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.82	404	47.8%193 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92dc…9980backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under	60c	99.77$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.63	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdec1…efe6backed Under	56c	92$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	42c	90$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8255…4261backed Under	47c	85.72$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.48	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	43c	81.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	56c	75.15$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.07	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	44c	75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	272	48.5%132 W · 140 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Over	41c	73.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.26	226	38.5%87 W · 139 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Over	62c	73$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	183	47%86 W · 97 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Under	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	55c	67.42$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.34	340	44.4%151 W · 189 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Under	43c	57.08$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.67	234	35%82 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	55c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	1,053	47.3%498 W · 555 L	-14.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…9878backed Over	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Under	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	209	50.2%105 W · 104 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0310…1ce4backed Over	78c	52.03$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.82	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	67cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	55c	49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	674	44.1%297 W · 377 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Over	28c	48.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+4.1wins	+0.45per pick	44cpaid	+106.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over	46c	48.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	55c	45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.25	213	53.5%114 W · 99 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	56c	37.36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.44	2,944	47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	56c	34.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.06	1,803	53.8%970 W · 833 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	58c	33.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.22	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under	51c	32.22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.73	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	43c	31.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a2…a302backed Under	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	62c	24.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	473	46.5%220 W · 253 L	+25.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0e…0f19backed Over	72c	24.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	43c	23.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under	57c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…315bbacked Under	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Under	56c	19.59$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.62	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb1…9998backed Over	63c	19.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under	80c	18.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.71	143	44.8%64 W · 79 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0405…2491backed Over	75c	14.07$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee Brewers won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event