AI · resolved market
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd30e1c78fc8ba535e6948afe8dc3bc5a881e79f63f0b307a1be1cbf6f878c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,837$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.02 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 72c | 2,807$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Yes | 24c | 1,751$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.19 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 71c | 1,023$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.83 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…be6dbacked No | 72c | 1,003$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.03 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 924.1$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 71c | 852$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 741.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.22 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 75c | 670$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 69c | 600$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 5c | 498.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 77c | 455.43$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…d5c6backed No | 80c | 442.56$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 382.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 356.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 16c | 350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 10c | 321.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 78c | 264.74$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 76c | 264$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked No | 78c | 250.4$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8a…d6aebacked No | 74c | 237.68$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 59c | 225.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 26c | 204.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…df2ebacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c8…c674backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…0a8cbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8908…a6c0backed Yes | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 69c | 189.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 28c | 185$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 24c | 174$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -13.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…f722backed Yes | 28c | 162.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…7e87backed Yes | 28c | 154.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…424bbacked Yes | 28c | 150.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…cbadbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…cf82backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 75c | 113.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 53c | 106.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 24c | 104.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…1703backed Yes | 17c | 99.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 49c | 97.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed No | 74c | 85.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaea…1d63backed Yes | 31c | 82.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…bf12backed Yes | 24c | 77.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked Yes | 21c | 69.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 24c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…628ebacked Yes | 22c | 64.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 23c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 20c | 61.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…42e9backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 32c | 50.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f92…d732backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…0c88backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked No | 77c | 45.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 44.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…4306backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…20fbbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…f437backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…3699backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…1a00backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…afaabacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…fc2fbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…38f8backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 72c | 37.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…95d5backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 53c | 26.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 80c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 72c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…4cfcbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…e6fbbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ae…da79backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…5630backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?this page
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?No won
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?No won
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No won
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?No won
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.