Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98b0fdac55337ffea0c7edb8d8dd7f2713083b3f882a4639385f012d0c12b8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 35c | 5,398$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 73c | 4,772$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.92 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 43c | 3,763$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.46 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 52c | 2,706$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.16 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 2,479$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.32 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 5c | 2,366$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.77 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 2,366$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.08 | 442 | 51.6%228 W · 214 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 30c | 2,182$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…f6abbacked Over | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 21c | 1,912$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 34c | 1,630$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.26 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 1c | 1,517$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +251%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,500$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.88 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 78c | 992.19$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 74c | 794.37$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.92 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 21c | 325.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 35c | 318.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 22c | 283.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 28c | 215.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 35c | 211.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 65c | 209.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 75c | 199.55$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 65c | 128$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 72c | 127.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Under | 39c | 93.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 93.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 90.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 73c | 80.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 41c | 68.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 40c | 62.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 78c | 61.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Under | 51c | 58.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0c…4d9cbacked Over | 32c | 58.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 76c | 56.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 60c | 50.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 46.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 39.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 194 | 63.4%123 W · 71 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 72c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 73c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…edf7backed Under | 79c | 20.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…9d1abacked Under | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…3968backed Under | 78c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: PAOK O/U 0.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: PAOK O/U 1.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.