Europa Conference League · resolved market

PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x864b3c982cfcc475be57e7a2f2b41b468a069b7aa9da9c3b1274604eb378cca1

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,696 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	9,484$5,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,367.73	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	49c	6,914$3,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,402	1,604	38.9%624 W · 980 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	40c	5,436$2,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.23	558	45%251 W · 307 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under	49c	2,429$1,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.75	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	30c	1,500$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over	49c	1,442$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	68c	952.15$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.04	2,333	41.7%972 W · 1,361 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	52c	855.98$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.32	2,473	33.9%839 W · 1,634 L	-95.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	41c	675.24$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.37	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over	49c	587.63$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.94	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	63c	460.2$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.7	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	+305.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	454.5$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.6	1,114	35.8%399 W · 715 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	23c	410.77$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.59	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	38c	395.87$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.44	973	46%448 W · 525 L	-4.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	53c	381.01$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.83	852	60.9%519 W · 333 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	53c	367.99$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.61	580	61.9%359 W · 221 L	+22.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	51c	331.48$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.43	568	49.6%282 W · 286 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	13c	261$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.07	106	27.4%29 W · 77 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under	58c	247.76$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.54	318	56%178 W · 140 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Under	46c	231.22$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.86	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	46c	228.22$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.24	661	50.5%334 W · 327 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	64c	217$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.02	351	46.2%162 W · 189 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	60c	209.8$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.41	783	44.8%351 W · 432 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over	54c	199$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.46	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	15c	198.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	335	22.4%75 W · 260 L	-43.5wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	53c	183.7$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.36	1,316	50.8%668 W · 648 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	56c	173.69$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.56	299	59.5%178 W · 121 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	58c	161.89$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.18	191	63.4%121 W · 70 L	+10.5wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over	54c	134.42$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.59	104	63.5%66 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	55c	134$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.32	535	64.7%346 W · 189 L	+29.1wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	48c	129.31$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.23	441	56%247 W · 194 L	+22.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	57c	121.57$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.33	393	57.5%226 W · 167 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under	46c	120$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	84	61.9%52 W · 32 L	+9.5wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	56c	119.39$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.02	294	70.1%206 W · 88 L	+21.6wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	49c	98.53$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.28	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	53c	86.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.77	655	49.8%326 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	54c	84.12$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	655	35.6%233 W · 422 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under	57c	83.58$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.67	69	69.6%48 W · 21 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	51c	80.54$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.08	130	50%65 W · 65 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under	47c	78$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.34	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	70c	76.27$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.39	1,033	46.1%476 W · 557 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb756…92d7backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-4.9wins	-0.31per pick	49cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over	74c	70$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	45	73.3%33 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	48c	64.13$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.98	377	50.9%192 W · 185 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under	50c	63.49$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.73	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under	50c	59.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.62	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under	47c	59.57$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.57	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under	62c	57.54$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.88	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over	55c	57.13$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7be6…5ab8backed Over	54c	55.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-6.7wins	-0.39per pick	51cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over	51c	50.98$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	239	51.5%123 W · 116 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over	53c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	48c	49.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.91	2,167	37.6%815 W · 1,352 L	+5.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66db…370fbacked Under	47c	38.3$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+182.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-6.7wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae48…afbebacked Over	57c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x424c…8580backed Over	44c	33.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd691…fcc6backed Under	46c	31.13$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under	47c	30.04$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.92	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+5.7wins	+0.31per pick	46cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	52c	28.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	501	54.7%274 W · 227 L	+20.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	60c	28.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	179	58.1%104 W · 75 L	+17.0wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	37c	27.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	182	44.5%81 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under	67c	27.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	75	80%60 W · 15 L	+12.6wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Under	45c	26.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.67	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	49c	26.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under	45c	24.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.74	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e1…0ee8backed Over	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	47c	23.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.38	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	59c	23.17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.58	49	73.5%36 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	59c	20.11$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.26	72	68.1%49 W · 23 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	69c	17.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	638	57.2%365 W · 273 L	+35.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5this page
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5Under won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5Under won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: PAOK O/U 0.5Under won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: PAOK O/U 1.5Under won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5Over won
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event