Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42c2a32844995d02a8a1f70786f3d23feb03223a24be95caf17e9d96792fce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 4,760$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.79 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 4,423$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.11 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 3,667$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.57 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Under | 58c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 52c | 1,386$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.62 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 31c | 1,227$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.37 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 1,142$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 901.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 55c | 879.22$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…df5fbacked Under | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +166.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 29c | 673.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 32c | 594.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 452.65$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 70c | 387.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 32c | 362.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 71c | 314.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 29c | 285.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 22c | 268.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 221.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 73c | 202.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 30c | 148.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 126.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 30c | 119.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 60c | 111.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 58c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 97.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 25c | 97.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 22c | 82.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 75.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 73.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 69.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 20c | 68.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 58.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 53.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 41c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 70c | 39.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 71c | 31.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 70c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5this page
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: PAOK O/U 0.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: PAOK O/U 1.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 0.5Over won
- PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht: RSC Anderlecht O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RSC Anderlecht won
- Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.