South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x938599976c85dbda963255554218a532e763602f621e1980916feecb25404f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 14,700$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 12,220$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.32 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 15c | 6,035$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.78 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 25c | 5,528$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 4,229$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 3,262$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.27 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 7c | 2,585$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 52c | 2,500$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.28 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 1,775$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.69 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 35c | 1,766$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.25 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 41c | 971$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.64 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 6c | 964.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.75 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 58c | 833.33$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.14 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 74c | 745.2$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 9c | 716.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.63 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 31c | 708.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 17c | 588.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 72c | 573.18$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 76c | 546.37$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 56c | 538.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 32c | 451.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.83 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 44c | 440.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.87 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 68c | 403.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 43c | 400$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 33c | 399.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 55c | 324.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 9c | 306.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.67 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed No | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 58c | 290.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 34c | 283.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 36c | 260$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 47c | 251.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 59c | 241.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 25c | 218.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 36c | 205.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked No | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 37c | 198.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 185.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 38c | 173.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 9c | 170$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 163$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes | 50c | 159.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 157.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 11c | 155.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 34c | 144.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 47c | 142.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 21c | 140.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 27c | 137.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 136.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 60c | 127.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 29c | 92.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 31c | 87.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 42c | 78.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…10b3backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 41.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…9d1abacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 58c | 35.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 65c | 28.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 63c | 26.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Yes | 75c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 72c | 25.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Yes | 58c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked No | 53c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…a2fabacked Yes | 68c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +465%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Yes | 74c | 14.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.