South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571765e341c14488abc3e2b9eb62c96bbee26c2a2242f4893bc1dd6afb22fc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 20,172$15,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.83 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 7,674$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.84 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 5,594$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,900$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.16 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 1,224$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 35c | 1,057$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 42c | 945$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 820.41$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 642.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 609.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 80c | 568.75$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 25c | 552.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 545.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 498.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…1a89backed Yes | 36c | 490$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 23c | 418.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 63c | 281.93$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 27c | 278.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…29e6backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 80c | 238.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 23c | 222.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 14c | 199.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 69c | 196$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 193.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed No | 80c | 151.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 23c | 149.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 120.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 35c | 115.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 66c | 115.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes | 24c | 112.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 34c | 74.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 79c | 59.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 59.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 28c | 57.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 32c | 56.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 19c | 54.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 50.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 70c | 48.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Yes | 23c | 48.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Yes | 37c | 43.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 32c | 38.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 69c | 22.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.