South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a3c3d949bfe315baa99fe2e04b006491d071811e53b55b989160b3ab57b3b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 24,162$15,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,228.52 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 15,079$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.73 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 30c | 9,147$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.6 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 7,740$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.86 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 7,633$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.32 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 34c | 4,247$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.06 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,565$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.35 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 27c | 3,276$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.69 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 57c | 2,912$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.1 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 28c | 2,828$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.98 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 54c | 2,423$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.88 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 2,382$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.21 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 73c | 2,129$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.22 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 2,060$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.19 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 74c | 1,341$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Yes | 40c | 1,213$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 1,199$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.04 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 29c | 999.95$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.96 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Yes | 41c | 915.91$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 74c | 908.1$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 46c | 777.03$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 65c | 714.29$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 615.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 65c | 613.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 71c | 610.54$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 59c | 607.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 588.33$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.93 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 68c | 579.94$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 21c | 579.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed No | 49c | 569.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 9c | 555.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 64c | 548.23$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 60c | 514.31$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 79c | 458.96$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 75cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 427.84$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…16cabacked Yes | 35c | 397.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 57c | 392.37$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 65c | 384.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 285.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6eb7backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 40c | 247.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 53c | 244.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 50c | 194.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 42c | 194.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 42c | 194.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 71c | 190$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 67c | 185.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 60c | 169.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 49c | 160.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 150.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 46c | 147.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…c687backed Yes | 35c | 143.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 139.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 139.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 27c | 135.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 126.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…d691backed Yes | 24c | 124.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 62c | 124.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 69c | 124.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 27c | 111.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 71c | 87.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 58c | 86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 65c | 85.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 85.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 65c | 82.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked No | 66c | 80.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 43c | 72.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 67c | 72.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…29e6backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 20c | 64.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 31c | 61.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed No | 63c | 57.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 55c | 56.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes | 48c | 56.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 51.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.