Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Pedro Vives Marcos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae18858a04d28a77b8cc5660f8f2734ec79d361eb4152b7195cabf8c3ec263b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pedro Vives Marcosof Branko Djuric, Pedro Vives Marcos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 80c | 3,828$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.29 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Branko Djuric | 25c | 3,642$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Branko Djuric | 13c | 1,557$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 52c | 964.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.46 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Branko Djuric | 52c | 937$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.22 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 69c | 605.14$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Branko Djuric | 48c | 600.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 60c | 599$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 48c | 584.63$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 54c | 370.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Branko Djuric | 12c | 290.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Branko Djuric | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 47c | 162.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 47c | 155$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9a…88ecbacked Branko Djuric | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Branko Djuric | 48c | 141.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Branko Djuric | 27c | 128.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 78c | 127.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Branko Djuric | 55c | 123.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 71c | 118.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Branko Djuric | 45c | 57.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Branko Djuric | 49c | 56.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Branko Djuric | 52c | 38.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Branko Djuric | 52c | 36.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Branko Djuric | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Branko Djuric | 47c | 30.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Branko Djuric | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Pedro Vives Marcos | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…9d1abacked Pedro Vives Marcos | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.