Tennis · resolved market
ITF Las Palmas: Kristina Novak vs Carmen Gallardo Guevara
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33708a39d0175dc58c6b0ac6a13b1b282d3aab0ab7892864240c7d5d541f7bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carmen Gallardo Guevaraof Kristina Novak, Carmen Gallardo Guevara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 72c | 1,708$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Kristina Novak | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Kristina Novak | 40c | 888.42$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.64 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Kristina Novak | 26c | 884.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 72c | 674.29$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kristina Novak | 25c | 519.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Kristina Novak | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 75c | 483.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Kristina Novak | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Kristina Novak | 9c | 462.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…ed02backed Kristina Novak | 10c | 137.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Kristina Novak | 25c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Kristina Novak | 51c | 85.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Kristina Novak | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…9a38backed Kristina Novak | 31c | 79.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Kristina Novak | 27c | 73.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 79c | 69.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…9d1abacked Kristina Novak | 44c | 66.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Kristina Novak | 19c | 55.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Kristina Novak | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 75c | 39.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 75c | 37.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Kristina Novak | 41c | 35.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…7137backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 72c | 34.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 74c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.