Mls · resolved market
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a1da560a6c09812a2670136491cad5b603cb723ac0bbcfbaec2a9002e3ac5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles FCof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Los Angeles FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles FC | 72c | 5,000$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29c | 3,028$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.99 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Los Angeles FC | 73c | 2,486$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.28 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 31c | 1,506$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.46 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles FC | 72c | 1,488$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.63 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Los Angeles FC | 69c | 1,483$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.82 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Los Angeles FC | 72c | 1,325$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.02 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 1,003$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 27c | 850$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Los Angeles FC | 72c | 277.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Los Angeles FC | 62c | 174$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29c | 172.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Los Angeles FC | 68c | 138.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 32c | 134.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 30c | 101.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles FC | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Los Angeles FC | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 39c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Los Angeles FC | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 32c | 73.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 69.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles FC | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles FC | 72c | 53.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles FC | 75c | 34.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Los Angeles FC | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Los Angeles FC | 72c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Los Angeles FC | 72c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles FC | 70c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Los Angeles FC | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…03f3backed Los Angeles FC | 72c | 14.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Los Angeles FC | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.