TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c6,824$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.0399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over56c6,740$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.262378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c6,458$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.2998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under37c5,003$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.8317740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over65c4,598$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c3,524$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.1887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c2,522$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.783,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under35c2,452$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60072850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over47c1,918$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.4552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under53c1,821$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.461957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over44c1,788$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.5446156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c1,232$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.491,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c979.11$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.1670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c804.83$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.261,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c746.14$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.051,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under51c497.49$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3217137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under38c401.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2320133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over47c390.93$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5547240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3619645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under44c317$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1764955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921580%12 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+87.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over63c283.13$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6932848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over63c263$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6935550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under43c237.98$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.481968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over62c235.05$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3812850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over64c235$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3112650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under51c184.54$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.727659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over63c177.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.357147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over59c175.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2119642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over64c156.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over34c151.19$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.856944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under36c141.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.881,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under35c138$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.752923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over63c129.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8612356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under43c128.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over57c128.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.24780.9%38 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under80c122.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.1wins0.00per pick76cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over62c111.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.426450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under44c111.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.492548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under44c108.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.981275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over46c108.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over18c105.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.838624.4%21 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Under44c96.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.962661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under62c92.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c85.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1636247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…f5bfbacked Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under55c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.531446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.574850%24 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under39c64.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0910338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over62c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c58.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9331158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under53c58.06$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Under38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under37c50.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.082835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over64c50.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.187460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over63c50.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under34c49.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3523350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Under38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.92462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Under38c44.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over64c39.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5916948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over49c37.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Under36c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Under44c33.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.444350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under63c29.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over63c26.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.963164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over63c26.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.644459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over63c20.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e6f…6b2abacked Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over64c19.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.513256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under55c18.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.195162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c12.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52185.7%18 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick80cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.