Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a79955ea5d7f204961cc6e3a32de676e4776908f7b7e7fcc507ef07eb3dd5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 8,573$6,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.36 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 7,558$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.05 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 59c | 4,995$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.05 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,670$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 42c | 1,545$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 7c | 1,111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 41c | 914$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.74 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…029abacked Under | 76c | 758.86$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 61c | 416.39$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 24c | 327$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 288.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 288$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed Over | 42c | 271.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 225$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 221.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 202.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 41c | 133.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 69c | 125.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 40c | 124.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 40c | 121.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 41c | 80.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 61c | 66.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Over | 40c | 60.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 41c | 53.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 42c | 37.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 39c | 35.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 59c | 27.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 41c | 25.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 78c | 17.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.