Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf28793eaff22fe5e954ffe51b7079e76a6c12f45d295500001b55a5a5f34b8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 3,766$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.47 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 24c | 2,228$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.57 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Over | 64c | 1,500$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 70c | 548$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 513.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 23c | 483.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 27c | 479.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 80c | 440.05$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 76c | 403.41$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 72c | 400.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 390.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 18c | 330.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 21c | 288$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 31c | 277.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 67c | 210.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 29c | 203.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 202.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 16c | 180.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Under | 26c | 179$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 165.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 36c | 144.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 28c | 135$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 36c | 127.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 26c | 124$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 25c | 111.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 76c | 106.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 102.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 19c | 55.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 48.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 35c | 37.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 73c | 33.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 68c | 28.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.