TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No71c8,705$6,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,170.222,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83b…2d16backed Yes27c7,182$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,226.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes27c5,130$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,730.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+70.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c4,841$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.35,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c3,404$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.4124523.3%57 W · 188 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No51c2,109$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.151,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes68c1,504$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.729350.9%149 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes25c1,200$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c714.64$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.190544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No48c667.94$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c665.33$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.081,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No28c618.83$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.459252.2%48 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes61c502.16$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7430548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c495.65$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7525653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c444.86$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3872342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c444.09$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.772,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No7c437.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes20c370$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2964226.2%11 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No5c350.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No75c333$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7530731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes66c304.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.763161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbfc…b095backed Yes24c288.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c276.2$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.151,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No78c261$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.283240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c254.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.581,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No60c254$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4627337%101 W · 172 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd79e…d969backed Yes21c249.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c188$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No16c182.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.928836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee0…d8e1backed Yes18c165.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+69.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No76c160.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes21c157.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.731145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No75c144.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2235751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes57c139.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1213654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c136$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7984347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No70c132.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6328464.8%184 W · 100 L+29.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c128.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5176239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes26c118.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7824747%116 W · 131 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No78c110.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.133574.3%26 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes22c106.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.728630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516551.5%85 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e64…9cb7backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…99c9backed Yes32c99.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No51c98.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1514440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No64c97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2214646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes27c81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3728247.9%135 W · 147 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c78.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0859342.5%252 W · 341 L-28.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c73.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5182053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No68c68.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7323859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No32c68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5824448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c2…9ab4backed Yes60c67.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.261,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No45c65.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3916558.8%97 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Yes28c62.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.014045%18 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes34c62.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1777056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35a2…787dbacked Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a8…01e3backed Yes34c58.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes56c58.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8211861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9713666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes23c57.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.54238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.540750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.73946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes25c48.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.597647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes24c48.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No57c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.945052.2%235 W · 215 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No61c45.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7124161.4%148 W · 93 L+17.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes42c45.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No29c40.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a61…3c05backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+111.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+54.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No73c37.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.313956.8%79 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572b…83dbbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+237.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed No46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+153.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No75c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0915352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No64c31.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4156545.5%257 W · 308 L-24.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No73c31.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.710960.6%66 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870b…3572backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49a…896ebacked Yes68c30.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.676100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.657467.6%50 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.658958.4%52 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No59c26.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8237153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No77c26.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4513246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.643956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf499…1b5bbacked Yes67c25.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No75c25.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2220157.2%115 W · 86 L+15.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9edb…79ebbacked No58c24.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes57c23.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.144257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes80c22.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.451957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.27762.3%48 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…2c78backed No51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed No79c18.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.673141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No76c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5539855.8%222 W · 176 L+31.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No75c14.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.581838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.