Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1abec2ff10308d5630f7d3db363c4ca2d8aa2f58d8b4b8ee70eed1c5efa5f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Under | 55c | 1,035$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.11 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 764.99$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.09 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 45c | 550$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 45c | 494.07$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 448.88$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 47c | 198.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 50c | 194.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 10c | 194.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Under | 50c | 190.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 186.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Under | 55c | 184.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked Under | 53c | 155.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Under | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Under | 55c | 51.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 46c | 46.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 46c | 39.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…36fbbacked Over | 53c | 36.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 35c | 33.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 61c | 24.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.