TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over0c5,555$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2489810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under31c2,569$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.191,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under52c1,732$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.7225547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under34c1,180$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.844335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over67c1,111$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.5124750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under33c999.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9810353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed Under34c938.24$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.248240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under33c888$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9619844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over53c755.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5913336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2571…a49abacked Over43c700$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64c5…d255backed Over30c611.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.311650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under38c520.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.161,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.512035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under61c425.13$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.113554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over69c411$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Over30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Over42c256.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.195244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Over57c249.96$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.474531.1%14 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over68c191.18$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0814…875abacked Over66c174.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4830057.7%173 W · 127 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under43c154$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3327248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over39c152.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.53,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under31c149.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.491,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f3…9e72backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056060.4%338 W · 222 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over69c142.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1929240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Over36c140.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6113525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Over67c136.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3613853.6%74 W · 64 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…669ebacked Over67c129.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.17045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over29c118.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9323348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.287742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under38c103.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4314935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6750646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Under40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6028837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Under43c96.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6523240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…6179backed Under33c91.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Under33c89.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8836246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a2…aee3backed Over43c86.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc9…93b4backed Under35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.712142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over32c85.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under32c81.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.452552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over66c75.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508355.4%46 W · 37 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba74…e022backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010263.7%65 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74c…3c3ebacked Over67c74.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba7…6c85backed Over70c73.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.412560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over30c72.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.774854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over58c71.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7126154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c33…9ac6backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dec…ce9abacked Over69c71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed Over69c69.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.273759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over66c68.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2410652.8%56 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b42…cf90backed Under34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Under45c58.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.013246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Under43c58.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0320245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c56.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.432,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under42c55.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.943447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5f…1321backed Under34c52.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bed…90b7backed Over67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over65c51.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5942751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under31c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.553954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Over66c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Over75c46.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3900…c08abacked Over68c44.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Over70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306966.7%46 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Over31c41.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.787646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over61c40.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256759.7%40 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.420239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed Over69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…a151backed Over68c34.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.274257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Over67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.17352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203863.2%24 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a3…9b84backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Over71c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.594351.2%22 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3444…726ebacked Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202085%17 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3c…a356backed Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Under60c22.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.145440.7%22 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.213042.3%55 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83e…7e3fbacked Over70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4768…9117backed Over54c18.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over67c17.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Over58c17.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0235164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x364e…1996backed Over70c17.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129560%57 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.