TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7234…1d85backed Weibo Gaming42c893.99$375 inLost-$374.8214637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bilibili Gaming59c829.84$489 inWon+$341.091,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Weibo Gaming38c699.98$266 inLost-$265.991,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Bilibili Gaming61c444.7$271 inWon+$173.4882161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Weibo Gaming39c415.7$162 inLost-$162.1276953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Bilibili Gaming62c346.82$214 inWon+$132.8233857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Bilibili Gaming62c322.58$200 inWon+$122.5832752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Bilibili Gaming58c300$174 inWon+$12610652.8%56 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming39c207.52$81 inLost-$80.931,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Bilibili Gaming60c200.63$120 inWon+$80.621735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Weibo Gaming42c192.29$81 inLost-$8121819.3%42 W · 176 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Weibo Gaming43c162.79$70 inLost-$7016346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Bilibili Gaming63c154$98 inWon+$56.2530255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Weibo Gaming37c135$50 inLost-$49.5713525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Weibo Gaming39c123.99$48 inLost-$48.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Weibo Gaming40c105$42 inLost-$428042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Weibo Gaming38c98.08$37 inLost-$3734250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Bilibili Gaming56c95.73$54 inWon+$42.1232457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked Weibo Gaming44c91.27$40 inLost-$4013849.3%68 W · 70 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Bilibili Gaming57c89$51 inWon+$38.275044%22 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Bilibili Gaming58c82.95$48 inWon+$34.8459647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Bilibili Gaming66c75.97$50 inWon+$25.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa179…8645backed Bilibili Gaming55c75$41 inWon+$33.7517038.2%65 W · 105 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Weibo Gaming42c72.26$30 inLost-$307352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Bilibili Gaming60c60$36 inWon+$244946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed Bilibili Gaming64c50$32 inWon+$185648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Weibo Gaming36c50$18 inLost-$1854129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Bilibili Gaming60c43.75$26 inWon+$17.51,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Weibo Gaming40c40.45$16 inLost-$16.1814935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Bilibili Gaming59c40$24 inWon+$16.42128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed Bilibili Gaming64c31.2$20 inWon+$11.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+67.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x364e…1996backed Weibo Gaming41c29.27$12 inLost-$129560%57 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Bilibili Gaming58c25.03$15 inWon+$10.512458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0235…4224backed Bilibili Gaming61c24.59$15 inWon+$9.592454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c1…1296backed Bilibili Gaming62c20$12 inWon+$7.61181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fa…cecfbacked Bilibili Gaming60c19.65$12 inWon+$7.865056%28 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Bilibili Gaming57c18.6$11 inWon+$853954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.