Lol · resolved market
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5744ca6f0b2b9d76a2ee8ee824f685d1d60f3c7b182f33925b8dfc9e55b15f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 97,276$67,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,269.09 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 32,313$10,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,017.13 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Weibo Gaming | 35c | 31,436$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,967.07 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 26,008$8,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.45 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 23,140$15,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,277.02 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Weibo Gaming | 35c | 20,238$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.54 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 19,271$13,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,562.49 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Weibo Gaming | 9c | 18,657$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.98 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…abc7backed Weibo Gaming | 16c | 16,900$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Weibo Gaming | 36c | 13,386$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.13 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…8caebacked Weibo Gaming | 3c | 11,442$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.59 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 10,944$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.64 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Weibo Gaming | 8c | 9,755$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.83 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Weibo Gaming | 8c | 9,320$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.06 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming | 33c | 8,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Weibo Gaming | 26c | 7,538$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.85 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Weibo Gaming | 1c | 7,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Weibo Gaming | 36c | 7,182$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.22 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Weibo Gaming | 31c | 7,168$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…a8cdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 7,103$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Weibo Gaming | 33c | 6,579$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 6,320$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.03 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 6,062$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.12 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…682cbacked Weibo Gaming | 3c | 5,833$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Weibo Gaming | 9c | 5,798$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.28 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Weibo Gaming | 33c | 5,547$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.5 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Weibo Gaming | 3c | 5,132$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 5,123$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.89 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Weibo Gaming | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Weibo Gaming | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Weibo Gaming | 30c | 4,433$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.49 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 4,262$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.31 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 4,256$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Weibo Gaming | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Weibo Gaming | 8c | 4,000$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 3,826$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.84 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Weibo Gaming | 16c | 3,603$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.88 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Weibo Gaming | 36c | 3,519$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Weibo Gaming | 23c | 3,490$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.17 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 3,423$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.27 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 3,400$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.66 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 3,273$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.38 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 3,267$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.7 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Weibo Gaming | 21c | 3,185$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 3,074$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.27 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 3,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd793…b75ebacked Weibo Gaming | 10c | 2,944$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 2,913$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.39 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 2,856$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.71 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Weibo Gaming | 36c | 2,792$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Weibo Gaming | 30c | 2,700$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.95 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming | 22c | 2,685$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Weibo Gaming | 1c | 2,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 2,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 2,455$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.11 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 2,217$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.06 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 2,206$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 429 | 24.2%104 W · 325 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 2,173$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.57 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 2,163$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.46 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…9773backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 2,134$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.74 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fed5backed Weibo Gaming | 1c | 2,010$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…9467backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Weibo Gaming | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 1,841$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.22 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 1,761$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.24 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 1,692$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.94 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Weibo Gaming | 3c | 1,682$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Weibo Gaming | 4c | 1,668$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…e3b0backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 1,640$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Weibo Gaming | 22c | 1,604$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed Weibo Gaming | 1c | 1,536$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Weibo Gaming | 31c | 1,406$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Weibo Gaming | 3c | 1,400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 1,382$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.52 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 1,375$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.75 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 1,368$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 1,311$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.23 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 1,309$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…8b06backed Weibo Gaming | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…a879backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 1,249$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.45 | 210 | 28.1%59 W · 151 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Weibo Gaming | 20c | 1,223$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Weibo Gaming | 8c | 1,200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Weibo Gaming | 4c | 1,125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…c364backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 1,123$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.14 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 1,023$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.2 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 1,012$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5c68backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 216 | 44%95 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed Weibo Gaming | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 999.79$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 830.77$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 806.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.