NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551a275f21a9e2dc3fe86af3d28cfe31b07175475958f9323a2c6c0a8a377748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Celtics, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nets | 55c | 14,141$7,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,421.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Celtics | 47c | 10,385$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.14 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 53c | 9,823$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.79 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 46c | 9,500$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 46c | 7,460$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.4 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 53c | 3,930$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.29 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Celtics | 44c | 611.11$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.11 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 45c | 404.68$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 31c | 310$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nets | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets | 51c | 289.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Celtics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Nets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Nets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 224 | 67.9%152 W · 72 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Nets | 69c | 161$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 69c | 149$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 45c | 111.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Celtics | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Nets | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Nets | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Nets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Nets | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Celtics | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Nets | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 45c | 58.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics | 45c | 51.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Nets | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Celtics | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Nets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Celtics | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694f…68efbacked Celtics | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Celtics | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Celtics | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Celtics | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Celtics | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. CelticsNets won
- Nets vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.