Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c32a0f93d0fb5b46225e4ac76f3e00a8614f55e6aa365e0152d5ee92722a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea8…54edbacked No | 16c | 9,208$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 10c | 4,910$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.36 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked No | 9c | 3,888$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 7c | 3,564$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked No | 8c | 2,800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5ae8backed No | 9c | 2,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…f61cbacked No | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 75c | 2,428$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.72 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac7…5a6bbacked No | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 10c | 2,103$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.45 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1d24backed No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 1,920$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…9445backed No | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 2c | 1,726$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed No | 9c | 1,649$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed No | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…928fbacked No | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 74c | 1,276$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.63 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 15c | 1,217$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 13c | 1,130$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 2c | 1,007$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 14c | 902.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed No | 24c | 888.94$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 821.07$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.57 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 817.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 4c | 748.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 739.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 46c | 690.1$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 632$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.22 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 75c | 628.02$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 510$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 11c | 495.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 14c | 466.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 38c | 414.47$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…6b27backed No | 12c | 403$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed No | 20c | 395$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 13c | 382$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…c5f7backed No | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 13c | 273.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…43a2backed No | 5c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…c8d6backed No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…8c52backed No | 5c | 249.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…8f76backed No | 5c | 249.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 20c | 236.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…787cbacked Yes | 39c | 225$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 74c | 217.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…a0f2backed No | 6c | 202.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…325cbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…74cbbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8525backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…8c09backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…c76cbacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32fa…912bbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…577cbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 193.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…994cbacked No | 10c | 192.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 64c | 187$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 54c | 179.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 42c | 175$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 44c | 173$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked Yes | 67c | 167.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 65c | 161$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…71f5backed Yes | 36c | 156$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 60c | 153$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…e5cfbacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947a…7101backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…b655backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…102cbacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…a406backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc601…9099backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…6082backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…d88ebacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…3c8ebacked Yes | 42c | 145$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 50c | 139.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed Yes | 55c | 134.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 23c | 128.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 119.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…0471backed No | 13c | 111.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…144bbacked Yes | 66c | 106.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 24c | 105.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 34c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…b78dbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?this page
- Will Liban Mohamed be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No won
- Will Luz Escamilla be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No won
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.