Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91df65683cf7e1718533fab38de1fdea5e7e7767600973487225556de031ebb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81d7…2149backed No | 74c | 1,378$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 28c | 1,296$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.09 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes | 51c | 688.68$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.43 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 78c | 600$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 7c | 503.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 27c | 502.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.1 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 29c | 415$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 20c | 360.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…5d2cbacked Yes | 69c | 169.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 23c | 160$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 12c | 116.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed No | 46c | 113.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 64c | 90.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 89.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 31c | 61.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…c517backed Yes | 41c | 61.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 35c | 51.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faa…787bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 63c | 48.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…29e8backed Yes | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…d2d9backed Yes | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…1361backed Yes | 76c | 45.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…ebcabacked Yes | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…73c7backed Yes | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8486…7f27backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…b05dbacked Yes | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 34c | 33.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…46b7backed Yes | 73c | 33.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 40c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…aff8backed Yes | 76c | 31.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…67cbbacked Yes | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…ce22backed Yes | 74c | 26.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…9017backed Yes | 74c | 22.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…8c49backed Yes | 73c | 21.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…03b7backed Yes | 77c | 21.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…d290backed Yes | 77c | 21.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…9c7ebacked Yes | 74c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…1d34backed Yes | 74c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…8998backed Yes | 75c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…864ebacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…368fbacked Yes | 74c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 71c | 17.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68eb…aff4backed Yes | 75c | 17.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…4186backed Yes | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…5a08backed Yes | 74c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…10a1backed Yes | 73c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…64c7backed Yes | 75c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0658…ff9cbacked Yes | 74c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1e…997ebacked Yes | 73c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…6787backed Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…68b3backed Yes | 75c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…97a4backed Yes | 74c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb9…190dbacked Yes | 74c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…499fbacked Yes | 75c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…05d7backed Yes | 77c | 13.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.