Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322a15ff40fd80cb292ebee447a7db09bd86d718c3d485e0d61c53877d1e1ced
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7094…2c4dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,312$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 21c | 241.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 21c | 212.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes | 6c | 209.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…1d33backed Yes | 10c | 206.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…f98fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +97%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 7c | 163.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 10c | 136.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 12c | 105.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…e24ebacked Yes | 15c | 88.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…864ebacked Yes | 15c | 79.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.