Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6ae0f160bff700f4fbe88b2d58ef0d1491a1dc799419f3ad9b75f5d3184a969

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,201 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf27d…e6d3backed No	14c	3,183$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.16	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	6c	2,554$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.58	115	22.6%26 W · 89 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d9…11bcbacked Yes	61c	2,478$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.18	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed No	15c	2,285$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.12	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed No	26c	2,271$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.14	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No	4c	1,866$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.96	272	22.1%60 W · 212 L	-15.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	2c	1,579$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.55	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	79c	991$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.16	210	33.3%70 W · 140 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	4c	923.61$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.63	497	11.5%57 W · 440 L	-17.8wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed Yes	74c	603$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.23	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	4c	599.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No	5c	572.53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	49c	571.61$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.31	165	44.2%73 W · 92 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No	44c	550$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes	75c	536.09$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.77	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5446…18f6backed Yes	73c	500$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	25c	394.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	20c	393.46$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.49	250	30.8%77 W · 173 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	3c	385$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	6c	366.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	183	37.7%69 W · 114 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	4c	338.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No	3c	305.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	104	2.9%3 W · 101 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…affebacked No	7c	303.64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	228	33.8%77 W · 151 L	+13.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No	14c	293.81$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.13	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x942b…e25ebacked Yes	39c	291.94$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.41	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	73c	282$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.14	196	31.1%61 W · 135 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No	58c	250$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	26c	244.78$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.64	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No	46c	242$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.32	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	38c	240.87$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.16	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	11c	238.42$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	152	32.9%50 W · 102 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	46c	224.58$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.11	335	21.8%73 W · 262 L	-24.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	67c	217.97$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.7	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	5c	203.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.23	183	10.4%19 W · 164 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	75c	199.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.93	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	27c	178$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	155	31%48 W · 107 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd691…24adbacked No	40c	171.67$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.17	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+41%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	30c	169.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.02	341	29.3%100 W · 241 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	44c	162.47$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	211	55.9%118 W · 93 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	49c	161.82$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.79	121	50.4%61 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes	57c	152.28$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.48	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+4.2wins	+0.20per pick	33cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes	49c	144.97$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.33	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	25c	132.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.45	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe340…39f9backed No	54c	130.88$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	45c	123$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.62	450	35.1%158 W · 292 L	-37.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Yes	75c	121.3$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.32	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88d7…5762backed No	68c	120.8$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.56	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51df…8f22backed Yes	79c	120$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc46…3281backed Yes	36c	105$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	17c	105$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…fa0bbacked No	41c	101.43$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	44c	101$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.87	248	61.7%153 W · 95 L	+24.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f48…e69bbacked No	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No	44c	95.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.96	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes	38c	90$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3f1…4464backed No	61c	76.23$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	17c	75.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	73	24.7%18 W · 55 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb032…f92fbacked Yes	60c	71.67$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	48c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	205	42%86 W · 119 L	-11.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa486…790abacked No	53c	59.87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.67	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	34c	54.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	56c	51.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	43c	51.38$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.53	87	18.4%16 W · 71 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7593…e677backed No	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed No	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7b…2d1abacked No	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8b…00a3backed No	57c	49.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.49	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No	58c	48.01$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No	39c	43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes	58c	41$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.22	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No	42c	41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No	51c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344d…cd28backed No	37c	37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes	66c	32.54$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.16	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	35c	32.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-8.8wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69e4…2101backed No	61c	31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b5…ad74backed Yes	50c	30.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	41c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	124	40.3%50 W · 74 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	63c	29.58$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	54c	28.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.1	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad4…5113backed Yes	37c	28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…6d2fbacked Yes	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7b…173bbacked No	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	45c	23.7$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.08	180	41.1%74 W · 106 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0116…fdf7backed Yes	64c	23.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.43	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf365…f5e3backed No	49c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	51cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x464e…e4efbacked Yes	64c	22.12$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3e…3252backed Yes	52c	21.96$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6bb1backed Yes	49c	20.78$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef71…4d85backed Yes	75c	17.89$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.54	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No	65c	17.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?this page
Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No won
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No won
Will Mike Faris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No won
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No won
Will Wende Kennedy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event