Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc63ab257269b6d88696a7c395c22a032dd8bcaec0f20b22083ac17dd8a9221c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 5c | 18,310$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.24 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 4c | 13,943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 4c | 8,075$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…9b11backed No | 19c | 4,300$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed No | 12c | 3,734$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 8c | 3,528$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 8c | 2,880$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 6c | 2,770$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 6c | 2,317$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 6c | 2,042$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 4c | 1,832$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,822$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 6c | 1,604$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb24…496bbacked No | 1c | 1,582$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked No | 5c | 1,532$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 5c | 1,331$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 2c | 1,035$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 6c | 975.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 47c | 915.71$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.6 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked No | 19c | 833.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 10c | 780$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…ed31backed No | 6c | 756$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 744.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 11c | 721.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 71c | 602.08$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 6c | 600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 28c | 478.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 7c | 440$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…a2d4backed No | 15c | 395$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 14c | 393.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…d07cbacked Yes | 66c | 384.97$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 14c | 371.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 60c | 360$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 74c | 355$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 6c | 349.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 6c | 328.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 25c | 327$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 7c | 293.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 69c | 266.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 11c | 261$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 6c | 257.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes | 42c | 250$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 5c | 248.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 55c | 210.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 71c | 208.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 208.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0116…fdf7backed Yes | 51c | 193.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 10c | 192.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 80c | 186.79$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…bc74backed No | 6c | 177.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 79c | 151$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…0d58backed No | 20c | 150.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 9c | 144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 71c | 144$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 136$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 38c | 125.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…fc6dbacked Yes | 80c | 125.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 20c | 122$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 70c | 122$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 49c | 110.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 10c | 107.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…188fbacked Yes | 66c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 15c | 105.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 14c | 102.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…e3eabacked Yes | 72c | 101.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 29c | 90.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 44c | 88.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 28c | 88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…11f0backed Yes | 46c | 84.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 44c | 79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 68c | 76.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…d800backed No | 26c | 74.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…ec74backed No | 28c | 74.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 64.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 48c | 61.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194a…0f76backed Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +554%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 28c | 59.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a043backed No | 20c | 51.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 50c | 49.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 42c | 48.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 38c | 45.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 60c | 44.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Tom Leonard win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.