AI · resolved market
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f55764c9c19ca0bb7f5aee558faf5e10e06c799aba666d4a28f409647548b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,441 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 9c | 3,378$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.02 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe908…76debacked Yes | 25c | 3,007$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…6749backed Yes | 33c | 2,798$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 65c | 2,520$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.33 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…8be1backed Yes | 38c | 1,851$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 20c | 1,823$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.86 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 12c | 1,637$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…47e0backed Yes | 42c | 1,525$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 18c | 1,502$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,466$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…34bcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,423$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 1,417$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 64c | 1,001$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.15 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 78c | 999.98$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.24 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…3583backed No | 58c | 999.96$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 68c | 974.15$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 5c | 799.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…b3cabacked No | 12c | 750$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 30c | 743.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…206abacked Yes | 29c | 682.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +251.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 74c | 607.48$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 599.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…c537backed No | 77c | 518.64$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 37c | 500.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 40c | 451.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 424.9$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.16 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…ef76backed Yes | 22c | 397$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…54c8backed No | 73c | 392.76$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…e0cabacked Yes | 40c | 391.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed No | 75c | 358.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 42c | 358$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318b…60dbbacked Yes | 32c | 326.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c3…ed9dbacked Yes | 38c | 314.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Yes | 33c | 302.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…73b8backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…c987backed Yes | 34c | 291.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 55c | 289.68$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 18c | 271.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed No | 80c | 251.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed No | 18c | 244.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…ee13backed Yes | 35c | 222$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 210.02$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 61c | 209.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 204.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 199.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 25c | 178.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3190backed Yes | 31c | 156.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ca…0d6bbacked Yes | 36c | 152.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 72c | 151.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 150.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…4c18backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 28c | 149.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 42c | 145.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…9ab0backed No | 80c | 145.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 23c | 141.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 75c | 133.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 12c | 126.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 80c | 125.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 67c | 112.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 60c | 100.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 95.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 74c | 86.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…d9dbbacked No | 76c | 81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 37c | 76.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…7f90backed Yes | 68c | 73.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ab…c831backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 75c | 59.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 68c | 53.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…ff16backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…1c4fbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…40d7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…0628backed Yes | 49c | 46.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed No | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 56c | 36.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…6a55backed No | 77c | 36.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…4c9cbacked Yes | 31c | 35.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 72c | 28.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…12a8backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…f720backed No | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…9df2backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…9ea4backed No | 78c | 24.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 75cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…94dfbacked No | 79c | 19.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed No | 76c | 19.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…8c79backed No | 69c | 15.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked No | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.