Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2efc9509daeb2b7af50af73f66ee64a107062106a12c80d9544d1c02840d8cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 6c | 2,493$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,944$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 6c | 1,332$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 8c | 921.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…5a06backed Yes | 11c | 600.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 517.72$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 493.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…f807backed Yes | 7c | 416.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 6c | 392.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 6c | 388.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 8c | 328.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 47c | 262.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed Yes | 4c | 230$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 207.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 186.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 76c | 185.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 27c | 169.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 166.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 76c | 163.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…9808backed No | 78c | 143.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 92 | 77.2%71 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 11c | 137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 74c | 130.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…e150backed Yes | 34c | 122$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…de2dbacked Yes | 30c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 110.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed Yes | 17c | 109.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…b414backed Yes | 31c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…6998backed Yes | 23c | 100.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 77c | 100.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 13c | 99.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 91.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 22c | 81.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed Yes | 26c | 76.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…9649backed Yes | 27c | 73.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…9ec0backed Yes | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Yes | 28c | 68.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 51c | 68.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked Yes | 19c | 66.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 65.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 76c | 64.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 25c | 63.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed Yes | 23c | 60.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 79c | 59.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed No | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…75f6backed Yes | 18c | 55.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 165 | 18.2%30 W · 135 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…27c6backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6515…05c9backed No | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a7dbbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…9352backed Yes | 36c | 48.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 30c | 47.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…37abbacked No | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 46c | 43.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 42.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…62bbbacked Yes | 24c | 41.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…cd03backed No | 62c | 39.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…f7ddbacked Yes | 26c | 38.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 59c | 37.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 73c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…a17ebacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +221.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 50c | 27.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 67c | 25.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…b46cbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…c602backed Yes | 50c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 50c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…622abacked No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…087fbacked No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…05d0backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…e845backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 70c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb534…cac3backed No | 75c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed No | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…f926backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.