Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa73b4265d360d9b34e020ad39ba0a31123c3b667e53661ce63d4098139b2096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,179 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…bf17backed Yes | 2c | 1,508$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a19…5c56backed Yes | 3c | 1,037$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 72c | 685.92$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.61 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 72c | 341.24$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…7093backed Yes | 30c | 332.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 41c | 312.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 75c | 307.8$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 38c | 280.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 19c | 263.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 80c | 250$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…c8e4backed Yes | 56c | 246.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 222.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 73c | 221.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 209$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes | 70c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 73c | 193.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…9dcdbacked Yes | 29c | 192.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 22c | 191.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 190.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 186.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 7c | 181.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Yes | 79c | 174.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 165.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 42c | 163.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 162.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 34c | 146.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…86cbbacked Yes | 80c | 131.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 78c | 124.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 29c | 122.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 24c | 122$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 120.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 79c | 119.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 115.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 111.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 22c | 110.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…0b59backed Yes | 70c | 99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 40c | 98.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574c…8a65backed Yes | 32c | 93.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 65c | 89.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 41c | 84.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 22c | 82.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 36c | 79.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Yes | 20c | 77.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 21c | 71.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 17c | 69.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…58c9backed Yes | 44c | 68.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 40c | 67.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…61f9backed Yes | 69c | 67.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 67.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 65.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes | 63c | 64.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 60c | 59.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 78c | 57.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked Yes | 76c | 57.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb822…1422backed No | 61c | 56.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 38c | 55.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…32b5backed Yes | 19c | 54.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 25c | 53.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 29c | 51.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…cea8backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…fc87backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…bcd2backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 78c | 38.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…19a7backed No | 76c | 36.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked No | 40c | 34.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 80c | 31.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…72d0backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…c448backed Yes | 49c | 28.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 72c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed No | 60c | 25.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…9020backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…0199backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Yes | 75c | 23.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 57c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 54c | 21.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…618dbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…2ba8backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ec…9a9fbacked Yes | 78c | 19.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…b128backed Yes | 78c | 16.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…66ddbacked Yes | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…560dbacked Yes | 77c | 15.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on March 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.