TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cirsteaof Cirstea, Snigur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Snigur8c30,008$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.6280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Snigur8c11,459$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.492,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Snigur6c3,048$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.26331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Snigur8c2,561$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Snigur29c2,416$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.82850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cirstea77c2,300$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.163,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Snigur12c2,026$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.022,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Snigur1c1,773$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.731,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cirstea71c1,517$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Snigur29c1,499$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7122641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Cirstea73c1,250$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.522965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Snigur30c1,118$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2731753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Cirstea74c1,100$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1945457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Snigur24c1,026$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.179833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Snigur28c964.26$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.996439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Snigur23c932.94$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.692,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Snigur29c914.78$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2114225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Cirstea73c821.56$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.563056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Snigur2c744.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.912,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Snigur27c723.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.377,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Snigur29c699.82$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.057644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8213…8c05backed Snigur29c630.05$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cirstea70c582.97$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.341,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Snigur26c547.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.487,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Snigur28c541.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5443042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Cirstea76c527.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3659965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Snigur29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Snigur28c413.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Cirstea73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.964153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Cirstea72c401.39$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.392958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Cirstea73c393.25$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.182365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Snigur28c369$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3393…3519backed Cirstea72c357.15$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Cirstea72c337.17$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.571752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Snigur24c321.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.696,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Snigur10c316$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6216132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed Snigur28c303.65$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Snigur24c292.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Snigur29c290.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1824846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Cirstea73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.974276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cirstea71c271$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.932,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec2…e905backed Cirstea72c255$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…783bbacked Cirstea72c245$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Snigur29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Cirstea73c232.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.888145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Cirstea71c230$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.720043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Cirstea79c168.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…0857backed Cirstea72c157.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.132157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Snigur28c157$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Cirstea72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Cirstea71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8565849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Cirstea71c140.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8442046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Snigur19c140$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.147057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4842…b2f4backed Snigur28c139.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Cirstea73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Cirstea73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Cirstea77c114$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Snigur28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Snigur29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Snigur24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45db…8f65backed Snigur29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a3…285dbacked Cirstea72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Cirstea73c95.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8910668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Snigur29c84.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.431,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9f…bd6fbacked Snigur30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Cirstea72c82.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.023467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…9192backed Cirstea76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24484.1%37 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Snigur28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8860240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Cirstea73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.498547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Snigur29c67.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204951%25 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Snigur27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…0eefbacked Cirstea73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Cirstea71c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2322258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Cirstea71c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.797,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Cirstea73c49.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.467459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Snigur27c44.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8552037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Cirstea73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11060%6 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a9…bb66backed Cirstea73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.17170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Cirstea71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d0…0671backed Cirstea72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Cirstea70c37.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.255856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Cirstea73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.258767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed Cirstea73c33.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee7a…c057backed Cirstea73c28.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Cirstea73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.414475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Cirstea72c27.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6117257%98 W · 74 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Cirstea71c20.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+70.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5bdf…3a19backed Cirstea73c18.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.132161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Cirstea75c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.171752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aad…ef0abacked Cirstea72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b6…c5debacked Cirstea71c14.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.