Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Holger Rune
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa6fee9e49a94a34f2486d496e561718b415a2196d1124a5c67edbfe56142c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Runeof Perricard, Rune
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rune | 77c | 17,111$13,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Perricard | 27c | 16,173$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.54 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Perricard | 37c | 10,011$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.82 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rune | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Rune | 66c | 3,040$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Perricard | 16c | 2,997$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Perricard | 34c | 2,601$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.08 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Perricard | 21c | 2,188$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Rune | 69c | 1,942$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.24 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Perricard | 36c | 1,921$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.97 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Perricard | 23c | 1,732$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rune | 79c | 1,590$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.28 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Rune | 65c | 1,537$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.27 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Perricard | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.63 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Rune | 65c | 1,232$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.15 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Perricard | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rune | 76c | 1,193$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Rune | 63c | 1,108$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Perricard | 19c | 1,085$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Perricard | 35c | 925.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.22 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Rune | 64c | 841.89$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Perricard | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Rune | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Rune | 64c | 780.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.14 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Perricard | 34c | 760$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Rune | 62c | 664$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Perricard | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Perricard | 38c | 615.74$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Perricard | 37c | 584.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.7 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Rune | 73c | 560$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rune | 65c | 440.91$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rune | 64c | 369$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Perricard | 37c | 274.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Perricard | 19c | 259$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Perricard | 26c | 248$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Perricard | 36c | 246.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Perricard | 11c | 226.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Perricard | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Rune | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Rune | 67c | 199.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Perricard | 39c | 193.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Perricard | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rune | 68c | 183.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Perricard | 28c | 176.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Perricard | 33c | 160.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f1…958ebacked Rune | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Rune | 78c | 145.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Perricard | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Perricard | 21c | 138.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…9d5cbacked Perricard | 36c | 135.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Perricard | 21c | 121.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rune | 64c | 120.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Perricard | 36c | 104.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Rune | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Perricard | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Perricard | 18c | 75.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Perricard | 18c | 69.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rune | 62c | 65.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Perricard | 39c | 64.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rune | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Perricard | 35c | 58.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…806abacked Rune | 76c | 56.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rune | 64c | 55.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Perricard | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Perricard | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Perricard | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Perricard | 33c | 49.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Rune | 64c | 46.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Perricard | 36c | 46.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Rune | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…d618backed Rune | 61c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Rune | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Rune | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Perricard | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…da05backed Rune | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Rune | 64c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…e905backed Rune | 65c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.