TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Tereza Valentova vs Karolina Muchova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Muchovaof Valentova, Muchova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Valentova9c15,685$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.32,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Muchova66c9,996$6,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.6143051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Muchova72c9,321$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.3135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Valentova14c9,155$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.142,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Valentova34c7,353$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Valentova20c6,595$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.1911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Muchova66c6,017$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.4536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Valentova32c5,661$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.263834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Muchova67c4,634$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.7711560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Valentova36c3,475$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.881,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Valentova35c3,160$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.431,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Muchova67c2,950$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.2515862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Muchova63c2,788$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.4427063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Valentova37c2,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99945036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Valentova11c1,843$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0511530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Muchova79c1,551$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.631,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Valentova33c1,520$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.611045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Valentova34c1,450$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4931,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Muchova64c1,250$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45019241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Valentova23c1,249$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.222641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Valentova30c1,241$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.367,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Valentova26c1,227$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.812,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Valentova38c1,041$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Valentova9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Muchova78c795.14$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9330645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Muchova65c777.38$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0831753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Muchova66c750$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Valentova10c564.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.362,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Valentova35c485$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.751,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf456…632cbacked Valentova34c484.29$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.66333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Valentova5c466.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.092,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Valentova8c423.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3227231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Valentova34c393.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.811,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Muchova66c367.32$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8911843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Valentova33c364$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.121,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Muchova69c363.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4169350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…280ebacked Valentova6c339$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.727122.5%16 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Muchova75c316.27$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1625152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Valentova34c305.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Valentova12c301.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8910063%63 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Valentova7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Valentova34c297.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.976,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Valentova40c251.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Muchova66c226.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8210668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Muchova68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6416044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Muchova77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4646649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Muchova67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6626247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Valentova10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Muchova66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Valentova29c199.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9123735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Valentova24c192.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.297644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Muchova65c181.75$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.612564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Valentova27c181.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed Muchova68c166.04$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.136762.7%42 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Muchova61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9330750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Muchova67c155.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Muchova65c153.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8442046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Valentova35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Valentova34c114.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3752037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Muchova79c110.27$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Muchova72c107.28$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8b…575ebacked Valentova35c105$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Muchova65c101.2$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4215343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8dc…f75cbacked Muchova67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c28…ff31backed Valentova10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Muchova58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Muchova67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3325352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Valentova36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec2…e905backed Valentova12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Valentova35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Muchova61c97.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7422953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Muchova74c80.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Valentova24c78.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.826036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Valentova24c73.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Valentova34c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.387,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Valentova38c71.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2743749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Valentova16c68.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2110150.5%51 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…2584backed Muchova67c64.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.182450%12 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Muchova63c63.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485164.7%33 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Valentova35c60.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2113138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Valentova35c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6592548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Valentova31c48.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.953,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Valentova24c47.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.174951%25 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93f0…8b02backed Muchova74c46.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.052842.9%12 W · 16 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-34.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Muchova67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.971,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…09d6backed Muchova67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.787852.6%41 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Muchova65c44.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6455241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Valentova34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Valentova35c43.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.216327%17 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Valentova34c42.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Muchova62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.217260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Valentova35c39.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Muchova67c38.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8110562.9%66 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4274…a1e9backed Muchova79c38.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.04540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07bf…bc57backed Muchova65c37.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.19366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…7a67backed Valentova41c36.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…f39ebacked Muchova63c36.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Valentova31c33.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Valentova34c30.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Muchova67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.