Movies · resolved market
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2659b5de8567c0f0405a38d922000d7b2a43c207d7a4bc669683c1ec8dc67768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 50c | 13,969$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,018.57 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 40c | 8,878$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.16 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 35c | 8,044$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…b8e5backed Yes | 2c | 6,405$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed No | 53c | 5,414$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…d662backed Yes | 4c | 5,188$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 4,801$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 72c | 4,686$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…63fbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,354$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 39c | 4,182$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 48c | 3,840$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.19 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…870ebacked Yes | 60c | 3,347$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…0fc9backed Yes | 5c | 2,740$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 1c | 2,468$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…5d38backed Yes | 1c | 1,916$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 2c | 1,871$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 62c | 1,792$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.34 | 242 | 39.7%96 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,634$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 52c | 1,596$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.98 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed No | 65c | 1,513$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.95 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…5623backed Yes | 1c | 1,337$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…7de4backed Yes | 2c | 1,201$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.49 | 480 | 28.5%137 W · 343 L | -33.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 69c | 1,122$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.25 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…0764backed No | 35c | 1,106$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 330 | 39.1%129 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fd…62f5backed Yes | 5c | 883.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 20c | 866.71$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 58c | 849.31$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.06 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 848$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.2 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 50c | 800$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 731.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 636.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 523.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 10c | 498.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…0fafbacked No | 41c | 480.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 32c | 427.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 68c | 299.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 11c | 294.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 28c | 270$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…c85fbacked No | 68c | 267.56$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 26c | 263.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…ae72backed Yes | 59c | 247.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed No | 36c | 243.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 61c | 230.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 35c | 220$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 35c | 218.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 44c | 207.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 235 | 30.6%72 W · 163 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…3c8abacked Yes | 69c | 188.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 30c | 186.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 185.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed No | 32c | 166.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 44c | 143.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Yes | 38c | 141$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…64c6backed No | 28c | 137.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 134.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked Yes | 64c | 128.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 32c | 126.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef1…f3fcbacked Yes | 68c | 115.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 114$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 885 | 33.6%297 W · 588 L | -76.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Yes | 52c | 106.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 35c | 96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 61c | 91.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 91.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,223 | 17.8%218 W · 1,005 L | -125.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0c48backed No | 61c | 82.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Yes | 45c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…1803backed Yes | 65c | 77.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0cd6backed Yes | 64c | 77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed No | 72c | 73.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…b2e0backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…2921backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…a912backed Yes | 59c | 59.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 54c | 55.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 23c | 47.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 67c | 46.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 43.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…4092backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2793…4e49backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…be0bbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…3581backed No | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?this page
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?No won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?Yes won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?No won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.