Movies · resolved market
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396f546d9b39384adb220e1a4641987ceb4292432b165ae60e65ef11379c567e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 44c | 9,318$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.62 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed Yes | 47c | 7,151$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 42c | 5,511$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.12 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 49c | 4,486$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.84 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 50c | 3,555$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.25 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 38c | 3,039$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.95 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x316a…0614backed Yes | 6c | 2,464$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,531.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 75c | 2,453$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.8 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 33c | 2,363$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.56 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 45c | 1,994$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.63 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,552$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.91 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,515$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.69 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed Yes | 14c | 1,018$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +593%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 44c | 1,003$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.38 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.44 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 29c | 866.71$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 659.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.21 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yes | 65c | 655.94$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 601.05$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 17c | 599.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.13 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes | 24c | 581.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 8c | 571.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…ae72backed Yes | 37c | 560.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 35c | 525$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 522.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 42c | 504.18$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 56c | 500$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 6c | 499.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 38c | 498.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.44 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 10c | 483.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 12c | 481.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…8635backed Yes | 19c | 472$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +418.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…3763backed No | 10c | 466.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…6fdbbacked Yes | 20c | 447$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 74c | 420$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 70c | 380$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…efbebacked Yes | 6c | 375$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,512.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 17c | 350.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…b8e5backed Yes | 51c | 315.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 9c | 301.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 35c | 294.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Yes | 45c | 286.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 74c | 280.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…4446backed Yes | 7c | 278.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +363.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 271.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 80c | 251.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 5c | 248$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 49c | 244.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…d172backed Yes | 30c | 234.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 223.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 26c | 210.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…c77fbacked No | 37c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…b433backed Yes | 15c | 186.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +223.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 44c | 183.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…1da9backed Yes | 55c | 181.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…dc8cbacked Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 42c | 173.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked No | 71c | 169.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…0cc1backed Yes | 28c | 153.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 10c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 33c | 146.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…0912backed Yes | 30c | 133.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 129.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 65c | 116$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked No | 16c | 106.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked No | 34c | 98.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 25c | 96.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…5284backed Yes | 53c | 93.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125d…b5b7backed Yes | 34c | 93.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 25c | 85.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 41c | 84.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 79.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 21c | 78.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked No | 73c | 75.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…3d81backed Yes | 37c | 65.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 49c | 60.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab2…9490backed No | 39c | 58.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 63c | 54.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 52.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…c279backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Yes | 37c | 45.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 65c | 44.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 73c | 41.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…0182backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 64c | 38.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked No | 80c | 25.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…2f5abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 61c | 16.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…d330backed Yes | 77c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?this page
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?No won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?No won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.