Movies · resolved market
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5dd6226c8fdefa8558d95709c6a79b1287b942472fd46f2a7e2635e39983c8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 25c | 16,774$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.36 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 5,431$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 71c | 5,033$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.7 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 26c | 4,493$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.27 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 35c | 4,094$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.34 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 18c | 2,666$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 36c | 2,658$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.87 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 69c | 2,346$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 13c | 2,157$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.29 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked No | 30c | 2,009$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 39c | 1,630$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.14 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,525$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.69 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed No | 79c | 1,440$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,290$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.42 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 75c | 1,120$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.7 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,047$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.6 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 45c | 866.71$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.28 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 755.39$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 51c | 716.36$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.63 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 34c | 711.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed Yes | 22c | 642.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 640.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 21c | 573.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 78c | 545.53$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 49c | 498.36$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 16c | 471.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 62c | 457.01$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 17c | 419.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 11c | 409$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 79c | 403.17$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…3763backed Yes | 11c | 401.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…b8e5backed Yes | 61c | 395.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed No | 69c | 339.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 46c | 327.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked No | 53c | 325.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed No | 36c | 310$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 30c | 294.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 33c | 279.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf9…0dc6backed Yes | 11c | 279.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…b433backed Yes | 23c | 273.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +223.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fd…62f5backed Yes | 18c | 270.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked No | 29c | 269.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 232.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 70c | 211.09$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…0764backed No | 76c | 189.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 175.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 151.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…c6aabacked No | 79c | 147$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 9c | 145.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 8c | 143.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 58c | 137$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef1…f3fcbacked Yes | 19c | 134.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Yes | 73c | 133.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 38c | 121.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…e7adbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…f124backed Yes | 17c | 116.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 15c | 113.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…41b5backed No | 22c | 108.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 18c | 104.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 25c | 100.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…0fc9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…ae72backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…2c0ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…b16abacked No | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 18c | 97.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedf…2da9backed Yes | 36c | 88.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 79c | 83.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 62c | 82.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Yes | 37c | 81.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 71.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 70.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Yes | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 41c | 67.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125d…b5b7backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 25c | 59.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…54b3backed Yes | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 26c | 57.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…4446backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +363.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 62c | 50.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 61c | 49.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 58c | 48.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…dc8cbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked No | 49c | 43.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdd…0cc1backed No | 37c | 41.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?this page
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?Yes won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?No won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No won
- Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.