Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03f87e7df7f4eccca47d4c898ca7c8e1e59bf2969d43953f0676d52da64e6bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 5,552$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 3,734$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.99 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,791$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Over | 79c | 1,678$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.43 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 70c | 1,431$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 19c | 1,263$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.93 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed Over | 71c | 994.97$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 22c | 857.38$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.76 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Over | 49c | 814.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 40c | 673.29$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 53c | 670$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 39c | 500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 76c | 427.07$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.54 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 42c | 396.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 393.23$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…9205backed Over | 47c | 278.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 41c | 206.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…6775backed Over | 67c | 195.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 19c | 169.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 57c | 149.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 78c | 141.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 38c | 134$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 119.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 70c | 113.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 55c | 106.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 105.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…b7d7backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 97.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 25c | 90.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 19c | 90$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 46c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 50c | 57.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 22c | 46.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 35c | 43.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 37.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 76c | 35.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 47c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…d674backed Under | 67c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Over | 78c | 17.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…3358backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…13c0backed Over | 80c | 12.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5this page
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.