Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984fe2a7b11cf11427fed8adaa7f425de8cf062e015b323c2a9344c08eb2577d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 1,852$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.39 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e0ebacked Over | 57c | 943.44$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Under | 46c | 353.09$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…0acfbacked Over | 59c | 341.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 72c | 336.37$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…4e38backed Over | 44c | 292$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 274.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 213$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 198.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 51c | 162.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…9160backed Over | 55c | 116.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647b…5750backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 22c | 91.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…14d0backed Over | 57c | 91.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 88.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 45c | 63.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 54.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 42c | 44.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 29.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…753bbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 54c | 25.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Over | 57c | 17.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 2.5this page
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.