Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238ec988c57113c0b50b89980d9043a7fdf9b16ad9a1be7a8dfa3115c3d4c9d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 62c | 18,525$11,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,485.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 61c | 1,590$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 989.52$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 931.66$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.63 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 39c | 923.08$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 805.48$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 698.53$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.95 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 625.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.7 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 531.35$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.7 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 408$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.09 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 63c | 343.44$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.37 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…9ef0backed Yes | 38c | 335$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 61c | 299.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 38c | 295.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 62c | 255.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 40c | 251.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 38c | 251.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 238.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 7c | 221.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 63c | 201.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…4d64backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 24c | 170.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 36c | 164.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…e843backed No | 62c | 155$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 39c | 136.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 38c | 130.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 39c | 129.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 38c | 123$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 16c | 121.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 37c | 106.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 38c | 99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 37c | 93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 79.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 37c | 77.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 37c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 62c | 59.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…2236backed Yes | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 46.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed No | 63c | 42.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 62c | 37.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 63c | 35.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 37c | 35.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 63c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 63c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked No | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked Yes | 38c | 26.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked No | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed No | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed No | 63c | 25.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 63c | 19.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.