Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb3b796fca2d4689991cf013cb564bcc069d47175ae2c22b6c4d061acccb8f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Yes | 33c | 22,969$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 12,640$8,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.65 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 31c | 10,701$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 35c | 6,666$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.08 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 5,193$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.77 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 3,940$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.13 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 2,588$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.28 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 2,348$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 31c | 2,149$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.8 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 65c | 977.3$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.5 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 777.8$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 591.75$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 5c | 388.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 70c | 356.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 67c | 325$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 224.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 24c | 163$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…feabbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 68c | 100.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 17c | 89.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 65c | 86.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 23c | 70.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 60.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 37c | 54.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 36c | 43.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 40.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…37aabacked No | 65c | 39.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 33c | 32.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 26.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 68c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.