Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d677d4ecd40d4f8a84d901f43ffeaf5512ce1da23da908f02abe9f5312b44f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 68c | 15,470$10,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked No | 71c | 14,026$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 7,549$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.12 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 3,346$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.74 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Yes | 31c | 2,917$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 1,440$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.83 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…0c97backed Yes | 29c | 1,054$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 3c | 939.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…5f66backed Yes | 29c | 882$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b3…926bbacked Yes | 29c | 742$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 69c | 656.82$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d0…443abacked No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…79efbacked No | 71c | 573$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…21a1backed Yes | 29c | 509$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0dcfbacked No | 71c | 481$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 480$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.31 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…6e3abacked No | 71c | 462$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 29c | 298.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…16b1backed No | 71c | 297$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…177bbacked No | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…45a4backed No | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 271.27$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…be57backed No | 71c | 212$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 32c | 159.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 71c | 120.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 69c | 106.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 85.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 69.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 31c | 68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 47.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Yes | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ba…079fbacked Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.