Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc705531078c27c1480ce6190cbe5ce7c4a036952aaa80cebb525dbc148ac56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 3,379$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 1,364$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.23 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,166$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 54c | 999.51$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 192.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 172.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 76c | 138.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 54c | 105.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 47c | 92.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 47c | 91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 87.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 54c | 80.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 45c | 63.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 54c | 55.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 50.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 46c | 44.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd935…5e85backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed Yes | 42c | 32.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…046dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.