Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd5a15975be28555db43f84fca866e2a56c4ab82344752c8292c4bfdd5c1d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 51c | 154,425$78,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,668.22 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 49c | 127,971$62,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,696.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 24,403$13,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,225.27 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7263backed Yes | 45c | 23,091$10,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,287.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 49c | 19,455$9,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,532.9 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 12,055$5,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.94 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 11,678$6,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 57c | 5,998$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 5,638$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.79 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 52c | 4,976$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 4,364$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.79 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 48c | 3,120$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…6e13backed Yes | 48c | 2,466$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…7e65backed No | 52c | 2,391$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…558abacked Yes | 48c | 2,069$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…b196backed No | 52c | 1,875$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…2ad3backed Yes | 48c | 1,822$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 1,773$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…ef00backed No | 52c | 1,710$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…4565backed No | 52c | 1,703$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e9…16c2backed Yes | 48c | 1,693$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…7984backed No | 52c | 1,567$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…cd96backed No | 52c | 1,529$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…93babacked Yes | 48c | 1,525$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…139dbacked No | 52c | 1,517$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60af…1972backed Yes | 48c | 1,510$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…9d56backed Yes | 48c | 1,469$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…a47dbacked No | 52c | 1,464$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…7cacbacked Yes | 48c | 1,431$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…80e8backed No | 52c | 1,422$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…fc73backed No | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…3144backed Yes | 48c | 1,337$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…1efbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,337$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…3f3bbacked No | 52c | 1,324$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…ed0cbacked No | 52c | 1,313$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 1,300$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.19 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…b0b8backed No | 52c | 1,289$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…581ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,277$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3857backed Yes | 48c | 1,271$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c90…5b00backed Yes | 48c | 1,206$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…fb07backed Yes | 48c | 1,189$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0248…14f0backed No | 52c | 1,184$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…a8d0backed No | 52c | 1,175$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…c89ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,131$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…3d59backed No | 52c | 1,128$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…e1c3backed No | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…ca5bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,087$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…4458backed Yes | 48c | 1,075$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…37fbbacked No | 52c | 1,059$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…4314backed No | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…01e3backed Yes | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…150bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…e2a6backed Yes | 48c | 1,035$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 46c | 1,032$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.03 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…7dcabacked No | 52c | 1,032$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…c4d6backed No | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…9096backed Yes | 48c | 988$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 53c | 952.99$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…de35backed Yes | 48c | 903$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…25aabacked Yes | 48c | 844$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…a508backed Yes | 48c | 817$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…26aebacked Yes | 48c | 805$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9cf0backed Yes | 48c | 802$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6699…6ee8backed Yes | 48c | 799$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedc…ec9ebacked Yes | 48c | 793$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…451ebacked Yes | 48c | 788$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…a829backed No | 52c | 786$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35a…595ebacked Yes | 48c | 782$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…493fbacked No | 52c | 775$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…e2f2backed No | 52c | 775$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…377dbacked No | 52c | 766$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a98bbacked No | 52c | 748$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…de2cbacked Yes | 48c | 734$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…c593backed No | 52c | 714.1$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 42c | 713.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…669ebacked Yes | 48c | 709$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…4c19backed No | 52c | 706$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…f9bbbacked No | 52c | 698$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…a6b3backed Yes | 48c | 691$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…71d2backed Yes | 48c | 661$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23a…35f9backed No | 52c | 652$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd6…f88ebacked No | 52c | 632$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8620…d8bcbacked Yes | 48c | 618$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 613.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…2744backed No | 52c | 597$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…f5c9backed No | 52c | 591$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…0c81backed No | 52c | 591$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…0bd8backed No | 52c | 575$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.