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Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes48c18,888$9,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.234443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes48c15,693$7,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,532.427447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8002441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c8,238$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.983,28842.6%1,400 W · 1,888 L-74.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No52c7,210$3,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.825954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No52c6,366$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.1975142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No52c4,987$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c3,024$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.5215134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c2,800$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34456547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No53c2,350$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.53447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No52c2,333$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.6744749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c1,971$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.612,56439.8%1,020 W · 1,544 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c1,929$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.133945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No53c1,495$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.6512651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c1,412$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.733244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206e…e75ebacked Yes47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes48c1,034$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.32548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes47c971$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.379854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No52c719.77$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.496154.1%33 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes24c708.82$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1735248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked No54c702.31$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.061855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes46c691.61$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1414846.6%69 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c651.63$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.373151.7%378 W · 353 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No53c570$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.95635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes3c550$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23522747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes40c466.69$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.631315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes49c453.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22234547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes49c451.16$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c425.19$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6619347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes48c423.48$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed No52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+80.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No60c378.17$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019544.6%87 W · 108 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1449350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes49c262.16$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0328…9514backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No73c225.06$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.145444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613342.9%57 W · 76 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes24c199.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9410026%26 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7434342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No52c173.66$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.369746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked No52c158$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.842045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes48c151$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4810235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed No53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No53c135$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.451844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes48c133.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.84143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No52c109.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6851136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813655.1%75 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.995250%26 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes47c86.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.72326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0169…0096backed Yes38c81.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed No53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246d…21e9backed No53c69.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c69.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2655459%327 W · 227 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No52c69.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.235959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked No53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.048169.1%56 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfe…cf7dbacked No53c64.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2419446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+118.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes47c49.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.473748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042e…f947backed No50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.41per pick51cpaid+83.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Yes50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204035%14 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x092c…06b4backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e20…ac93backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No51c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.610552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a2…1096backed Yes49c39.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2415160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No73c35.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.483345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed No52c33.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156050%30 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes42c24.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb000…558dbacked Yes48c22.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cdb…4851backed Yes48c22.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No52c22.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6710040%40 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.