NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31daa74f8980d6db48f512e906367d6409ded3e9249c0f99ab60b603fd29e7db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $580,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Sabres | 56c | 106,992$59,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,286.17 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sabres | 54c | 71,744$39,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,665.69 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 43c | 71,470$30,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,532.59 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 34c | 70,000$23,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,949.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 77c | 60,661$46,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,864.46 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…05c3backed Sabres | 53c | 29,260$15,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,752.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sabres | 53c | 27,887$14,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,107.07 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Kraken | 22c | 25,538$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.13 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sabres | 73c | 24,579$17,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,731.48 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken | 24c | 19,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 46c | 16,500$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,515 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Kraken | 46c | 12,080$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498.83 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 46c | 11,255$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.24 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 44c | 11,000$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Kraken | 46c | 10,276$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.73 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 55c | 7,377$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 45c | 6,738$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.31 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 45c | 6,574$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Kraken | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Kraken | 45c | 5,330$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.5 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 52c | 5,090$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.2 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 48c | 4,995$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.6 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Kraken | 48c | 4,454$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.14 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 27c | 4,361$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 47c | 4,106$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.82 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 28c | 3,527$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.75 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 47c | 3,447$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 59c | 3,257$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.57 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Kraken | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Sabres | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 21c | 2,906$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.12 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 55c | 2,889$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.54 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kraken | 45c | 2,800$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres | 78c | 2,561$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.14 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kraken | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken | 45c | 2,350$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.52 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kraken | 45c | 2,200$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 45c | 2,111$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.78 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kraken | 23c | 2,007$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.58 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kraken | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Kraken | 46c | 1,996$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken | 43c | 1,922$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.46 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 43c | 1,826$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kraken | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Sabres | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sabres | 53c | 1,527$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.23 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532e…e69ebacked Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…a790backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…865bbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…3bb3backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…408cbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…1be8backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…3273backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…8f05backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…1541backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…b4edbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…7c87backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…58ddbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2d48backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…a687backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…8e4abacked Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…ebd8backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…735bbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…84fdbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d728backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…e7b6backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…34bebacked Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…f949backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…8db7backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…10b4backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…8a06backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…5f54backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…e2f4backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…014fbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…b345backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…e949backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…94fbbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3376…7b13backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…23afbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…e283backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…d2b1backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…d603backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad8…44e5backed Sabres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5958…8911backed Sabres | 52c | 1,499$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3593…4b88backed Sabres | 52c | 1,499$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f5…528ebacked Kraken | 48c | 1,499$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab0…5d10backed Kraken | 48c | 1,499$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…a619backed Sabres | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…47c9backed Kraken | 48c | 1,498$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…6d5cbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3e…9d33backed Kraken | 48c | 1,495$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…645fbacked Sabres | 52c | 1,495$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Krakenthis page
- Sabres vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.