AI · resolved market
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf010ee5dc742e424d7445cf733395e2222d743cddff2dec838dd8cd310bbd1fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 22c | 9,073$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 70c | 2,924$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.33 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 26c | 2,293$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +8.3wins | +0.38per pick | 17cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 15c | 2,235$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.32 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 20c | 1,863$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.81 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 13c | 1,651$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +16.6wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed No | 19c | 1,457$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…852abacked Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…2aabbacked Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 74c | 1,219$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked No | 23c | 1,197$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 1,055$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.7 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 976.53$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 51c | 942.86$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +165%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 36c | 903.42$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed No | 24c | 837.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 16c | 788$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.92 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 47c | 717$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…20b5backed Yes | 76c | 700$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 17c | 574.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8972…ab4bbacked Yes | 72c | 572.75$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 12c | 530$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 19c | 501.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 20c | 499.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 25c | 494.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 21c | 490.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed Yes | 69c | 474.16$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 26c | 454.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…1ad5backed Yes | 79c | 448.51$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 14c | 333.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 290.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…d612backed No | 6c | 289.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2eb1backed Yes | 73c | 285.39$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…e5ddbacked Yes | 73c | 263.39$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…9346backed Yes | 75c | 240.66$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 236.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 21c | 222.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 207$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 16c | 182.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 14c | 173.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…31dcbacked No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…da94backed Yes | 74c | 144.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…3455backed Yes | 43c | 134.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…548cbacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked No | 19c | 129.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…8ee9backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed Yes | 68c | 126.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…a888backed Yes | 80c | 125.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0615backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 16c | 122.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 17c | 111.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…872dbacked Yes | 70c | 108.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked No | 22c | 107.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…6562backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…8652backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…c8e2backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked No | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9880…82d6backed No | 16c | 99.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…1aa3backed Yes | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 40c | 88.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 21c | 84.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes | 79c | 81.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc083…0376backed Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…0b70backed Yes | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…7c0abacked No | 13c | 76.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 22c | 66.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…93d9backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…7283backed Yes | 76c | 60.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…2b0bbacked Yes | 80c | 60.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2318…858cbacked Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…7c77backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Yes | 74c | 59.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe76…d92dbacked Yes | 80c | 59.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…51e2backed Yes | 78c | 58.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd0…a979backed Yes | 80c | 58.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…3a48backed Yes | 66c | 52.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed No | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0cebbacked No | 22c | 47.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…d040backed No | 30c | 45.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…b306backed Yes | 72c | 39.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d9…1c39backed Yes | 79c | 34.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 78c | 31.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…4629backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…28adbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…9a95backed Yes | 80c | 28.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…a75abacked Yes | 74c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…9e8cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?this page
- Will CapCut - Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
- Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
- Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.