TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$491,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$502,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1ff…e56abacked Blue Jackets44c206,844$91,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,011.195749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights56c72,464$40,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,884.1238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights58c70,000$40,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets46c41,105$18,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,7061,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jackets42c40,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,80019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Golden Knights56c27,000$15,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,8801741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Golden Knights56c16,684$9,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,340.9817057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Golden Knights53c14,803$7,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,957.5410554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Blue Jackets1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets35c11,663$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.9999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Golden Knights55c11,000$6,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9502850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Golden Knights56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets44c7,500$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Golden Knights56c7,002$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08125449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights56c6,950$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.962,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights57c6,925$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.251,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Golden Knights56c6,861$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.6330152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights59c5,926$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.7158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights57c5,654$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.641,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9285…749ebacked Golden Knights53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3502556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Golden Knights56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9427548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets42c4,995$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.8170547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…4c6dbacked Blue Jackets45c4,653$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.597035.7%25 W · 45 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blue Jackets45c4,401$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Golden Knights56c3,980$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.28536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights57c3,591$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.492,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Golden Knights57c3,333$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.1922546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Blue Jackets43c2,928$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.9522946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights56c2,857$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.0852050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Golden Knights57c2,746$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.6124349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Golden Knights56c2,678$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.3228652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Golden Knights56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights61c2,406$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.7985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights56c2,302$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.4612552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights56c2,250$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99072847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Blue Jackets45c2,196$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.3822150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights56c2,117$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.4192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Golden Knights57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8604652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights59c1,881$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.11,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights58c1,874$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.8762249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights56c1,859$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.961,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Golden Knights60c1,832$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.4837857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Golden Knights59c1,691$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.954425%11 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Golden Knights57c1,667$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.6716843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights57c1,665$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.561,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Golden Knights68c1,522$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.065752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights56c1,517$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.481,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jackets42c1,267$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.312245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Blue Jackets43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51638046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blue Jackets39c1,144$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0482043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights56c1,093$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.2632744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Golden Knights58c1,086$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.212065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Golden Knights56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5143…bee0backed Golden Knights57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets43c999.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.661,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9437…14d2backed Blue Jackets43c999.97$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.991070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Golden Knights56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8611953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights57c853.7$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.091,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights54c799.03$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.922,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Golden Knights50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3755349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Golden Knights56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Golden Knights58c715.52$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.528046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Golden Knights57c702.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9810746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jackets15c649.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9941340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blue Jackets42c616$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7225045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Golden Knights56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26419548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights55c590.49$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.721,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights58c551.72$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Golden Knights53c537.13$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.116241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Golden Knights57c526.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6147051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blue Jackets47c485$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Golden Knights56c482.7$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.397250%36 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Golden Knights58c476.77$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1641354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights62c441.9$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blue Jackets46c432.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Blue Jackets48c413.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Golden Knights53c406.7$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1527357.5%157 W · 116 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blue Jackets44c403.45$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5289547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Golden Knights55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd636…0b90backed Golden Knights58c357.7$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.38425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Golden Knights57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.886162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Golden Knights57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Blue Jackets45c348.89$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575052%26 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Golden Knights44c342.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9818132%58 W · 123 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Golden Knights50c336.41$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9726848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights63c319.52$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.433,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Blue Jackets47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504045%18 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1a…4f77backed Blue Jackets43c316.79$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2238645.1%174 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights56c311.46$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0426955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Golden Knights56c308.73$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.315952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Blue Jackets44c306.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356857.4%39 W · 29 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jackets43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12975946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Blue Jackets43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12935245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.