Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1c7398ad5784d5a21adccded8540838faf6ca7428497012343dbef235bf698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 50,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 21,081$8,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,791.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 5,994$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.41 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 5,670$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.03 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 44c | 3,034$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 2,224$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.24 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 2,062$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.26 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 77c | 1,739$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.07 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 38c | 1,733$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.64 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 1,090$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.9 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 48c | 932.56$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 23c | 793.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.18 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 739.57$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.26 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked No | 54c | 709.62$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 77c | 670.84$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.86 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 51c | 521.72$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 68c | 469$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 45c | 334.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 77c | 327.41$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 323.36$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 24c | 275$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 224.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed No | 8c | 199.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 188$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 21c | 171.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Yes | 24c | 139.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 122.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 18c | 120$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 114$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 114$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…8e0fbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 109.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 99.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 78c | 94.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 79c | 89.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…68d9backed No | 79c | 88.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 22c | 87.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…8695backed No | 78c | 79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 77c | 76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes | 23c | 69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 57c | 58.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 29c | 49.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 80c | 48.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 40.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 49c | 30.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 77c | 28.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…7778backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 16.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…cf3bbacked No | 80c | 15.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.