Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d223ce1bcf7e264654438162d325bfecc3d3153db62187e66137856508cdc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 26c | 16,000$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 13,831$8,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.65 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 5,496$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.35 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 51c | 3,999$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.57 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 49c | 3,738$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.37 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 3,080$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.65 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 49c | 2,836$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.57 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,785$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.08 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 2,306$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.56 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 46c | 1,546$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.97 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 21c | 1,425$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.81 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 61c | 1,345$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.33 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…5293backed Yes | 49c | 1,185$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 1,040$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.94 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 49c | 1,000$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 52c | 999.95$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Yes | 17c | 900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…e75ebacked No | 52c | 844.23$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 49c | 818.22$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.93 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 78c | 732.73$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 54c | 660.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 613.72$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.72 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 569.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 513.82$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 80c | 481.58$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 52c | 481$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Yes | 33c | 479.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 453.39$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Yes | 23c | 442.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 49c | 404$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…ea07backed Yes | 51c | 391.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 47c | 378.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 365.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 355.21$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 287.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 49c | 273.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 51c | 204.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 53c | 175.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…4cb9backed Yes | 53c | 145.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 48c | 144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 140.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 53c | 139.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 48c | 137$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 131.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 48c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 49c | 125.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…5030backed Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Yes | 26c | 115.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 107.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…3485backed Yes | 38c | 105.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 47c | 104.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…d015backed Yes | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 34c | 84.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.